Tuesday, March 28, 2006

Forecasting the Final Standings

Today, I’ll predict the final standings in all the divisions:


American League

EAST

W

L

PCT

GB

Boston

93

69

0.574

---

New York

91

71

0.562

2

Toronto

85

77

0.525

8

Tampa Bay

73

89

0.451

20

Baltimore

71

91

0.438

22


CENTRAL

W

L

PCT

GB

Chicago

90

72

0.556

---

Cleveland

89

73

0.549

1

Minnesota

85

77

0.525

5

Detroit

81

81

0.500

9

Kansas City

62

100

0.383

28


WEST

W

L

PCT

GB

Oakland

90

72

0.556

---

Los Angeles

86

76

0.531

4

Texas

79

83

0.488

11

Seattle

78

84

0.481

12


National League

EAST

W

L

PCT

GB

Atlanta

89

73

0.549

---

New York

88

74

0.543

1

Philadelphia

85

77

0.525

4

Washington

73

89

0.451

16

Florida

70

92

0.432

19


CENTRAL

W

L

PCT

GB

St. Louis

93

69

0.574

---

Houston

84

78

0.519

9

Milwaukee

83

79

0.512

10

Chicago

78

84

0.481

15

Pittsburgh

76

86

0.469

17

Cincinnati

70

92

0.432

23


WEST

W

L

PCT

GB

San Francisco

84

78

0.519

---

Los Angeles

81

81

0.500

3

San Diego

78

84

0.481

6

Arizona

76

86

0.469

8

Colorado

69

93

0.426

15


Notes

AL East: The Blue Jays will make a run but the Red Sox and Yankees will finish on top again. The Red Sox will edge the Yankees with superior pitching.

AL Central: There won’t be a 99 win team in the division this year. The White Sox will not win as many close games and the Indians will not lead the league in pitching again. The Tigers will finish fourth again but will be much closer to the top than last year.

AL West: The young Athletics’ staff will beat out the Angels. The loss of Paul Byrd and Jarrod Washburn will hurt the Angels.

NL East: I’ll keep picking the Braves for first until they don’t finish first. The Mets and Phillies will give them a run for the money though.

NL Central: The Cardinals line-up is getting more vulnerable but Pujols and pitching will win it for them. Nobody else in the division is ready to challenge yet.

NL West: This will be the weakest division in baseball again this year. It’s also one of the most difficult to forecast because so much depends on Barry Bonds. If Bonds gets enough plate appearances, the Giants will win. If not, then the division is up for grabs.


Playoffs

Oakland beats New York
Boston beats Chicago
St. Louis beats New York
Atlanta beats San Francisco

Oakland beats Boston
St. Lous beats Atlanta

St. Louis beats Oakland

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