Saturday, January 19, 2008

Ranking the left fielders in 2007

This is the fifteenth part of my series on fielding in 2007. The table of contents for the entire series is listed below:

Basic fielding stats
Converting Zone Rating to something useful
Revised Zone Rating
Probabilistic Model of Range
Fielding Bible
Ultimate Zone Rating
Fan Fielding Survey versus range measures
Outfield arms
Ranking the second basemen
Ranking the shortstops
Ranking the third basemen
Ranking the first baseman
Ranking the center fielders
Ranking the right fielders
Ranking the left fielders
What about catchers?

Today, I am going to rank the left fielders. As with the other outfield positions, columns 4-8 of the table below give the runs saved per 150 game estimates for 5 different range metrics, column 9 is the estimate for the fan fielding survey and column 10 (ARS) is the average of columns 4-8. The 11th column (Arm) lists the runs saved per 200 opportunities as defined in John Walsh's article on outfielder arms. The final column (Total) is the sum of columns 10 and 11 or total runs saved per 150 games.

Craig Monroe had an ARS of 1.3 and Arm rating of 4.3 for a total of 5.6 runs saved above average per 150 games in 2007. He will be replaced by Jacques Jones who had nearly 36 runs saved above average per 150 games in limited innings as a center fielder last year. jones' numbers (ARS=22.2, Arm=13.7) might have been a bit fluky because of a relatively small sample (645 innings) but I would expect him to be an upgrade over Monroe nevertheless. Highlights for the rest of baseball's left fielders are listed below:

Best Range: Eric Byrnes 19.7
Best Arm: Alfonso Soriano 17.0
Best Overall: Soriano 23.8, Byrnes 19.3

Worst Range: Manny Ramirez -35.2
Worst Arm: Shannon Stewart -11.6
Worst Overall: Manny Ramirez -36.7, Pat Burrell -24.6


Table 1: Runs Saved Above Average (per 150 games) for left fielders in 2007


player

team

inn

ZR

RZR

PMR

+/-

UZR

FFS

ARS

Arm

Total

Soriano

ChC

1,064

7

3

1

N/A

16

25

6.8

17.0

23.8

Byrnes

Ari

970

15

29

2

32

N/A

18

19.7

-0.4

19.3

Jenkins

Mil

974

9

12

10

22

N/A

18

13.0

-0.6

12.4

Church

Was

719

13

12

11

18

N/A

4

13.6

-4.3

9.3

Holliday

Col

1,384

15

7

-6

7

13

7

7.3

0.5

7.8

Crawford

TB

1,186

21

-4

9

N/A

N/A

34

8.6

-2.0

6.6

Monroe

Det/ChC

806

7

9

-12

N/A

N/A

3

1.3

4.3

5.6

Payton

Bal

904

2

-15

20

N/A

N/A

8

2.4

-1.5

0.9

Matsui

NYY

980

-9

-3

8

N/A

-15

-3

-4.6

2.9

-1.7

Bay

Pit

1,237

-7

-2

-5

N/A

N/A

-3

-4.6

1.4

-3.2

Alou

NYM

703

-14

2

-8

N/A

N/A

-9

-6.5

3.2

-3.3

Anderson

LAA

724

2

-18

-12

N/A

N/A

8

-9.1

3.2

-5.9

Gonzalez

LA

996

5

-6

-5

N/A

11

-15

1.2

-9.6

-8.4

Stewart

Oak

1,154

4

3

-10

8

N/A

12

1.2

-11.6

-10.4

Willingham

Fla

1,176

-7

-20

-12

-26

N/A

-1

-16.2

3.4

-12.8

Lee

Hou

1,369

-18

-15

-6

N/A

-18

-18

-14.5

-0.7

-15.2

Kubel

Min

700

-2

-6

-21

N/A

N/A

-12

-9.7

-6.4

-16.1

Duncan

StL

747

-5

-24

-26

N/A

N/A

-12

-18.4

0.7

-17.7

Bonds

SF

842

-11

-4

-16

N/A

-23

11

-13.4

-6.6

-20.0

Ibanez

Sea

1,114

-25

-8

-20

-23

-30

-19

-21.1

0.4

-20.7

Dunn

Cin

1,190

-2

-20

-14

-27

N/A

-20

-15.9

-5.0

-20.9

Burrell

Phi

1,028

-11

-25

-24

-26

-34

-21

-23.9

-0.7

-24.6

Ramirez

Bos

995

-38

-44

-19

-42

-33

-12

-35.2

-1.5

-36.7

1 comment:

  1. Well done, Lee. I've really enjoyed these posts, very nice.

    Also, check out my site as I just posted an interview with Gary Gillette who knows everything about the Tigers.

    ReplyDelete

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