Monday, October 30, 2006

Off-season Plans

Tiger Tales recently became a year old which is probably about 11 months longer than I expected it to last. I'm still enjoy writing it and plan keep it up for at least another year. I originally intended it to be a sabermetrics blog but once the season got going, I found myself doing more commentary and less analysis. Now that the season is over, I will be getting more into sabermetrics again although I'll continue to report on current events as they unfold. I will not be blogging every day as I did much of the season but will probably post about 3-4 times per week. Here is some of what you can expect in the next couple of months:
  • Statistical review of Tiger season.
  • Sabermetrics in general - review and discussion of basic sabermetric terms and principles and how they apply to the 2006 season.
  • Reports on fielding measures from around the internet and elsewhere.
  • A more complex sabermetric study or two. It might get hairy but I promise to summarize the key points for those who are less mathematically inclined.
  • Hopefully another historic piece although nothing as in depth as the Fidrych Diary.
  • Preview of off-season needs and possible moves.
  • Comments on transactions and rumored transactions.

7 comments:

  1. Charles ListonOctober 30, 2006

    OK bring on the sabermetrics. I'd really love to see a study of the poor, unloved, misunderstood sac fly. Is it an important offensive play, or just another out? Is it a repeatable skill? Are there any statistical compilations of offensive effectiveness that include sac flies? Should I get a life?

    ReplyDelete
  2. I've ejoyed reading your blog over the past year. Keep up the good work.

    -Jade

    ReplyDelete
  3. Charles, some of the runs created formulas include sac flies. I believe the one that ESPN uses in their sortable stats takes sac flies into account. I'll keep your question about repeatability in mind and hopefully get back to it once I finish building my 2006 database.

    Jade, thanks for reading my blog.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Happy anniversary!

    I figured out today that if all 2006 statistics stayed even and the Tigers walked 100 times more they would score 28 more runs than projected to do otherwise. They would also win three more games. That seems like a lot of walking for three extra wins but it makes sense.

    ReplyDelete
  5. 100 walks is 3 walks every 5 games so it's not that much. Also 100 walks brings them up to only slightly above league average. 3 wins sounds about right. Of course, there are other benefits to walks such as forcing the starting pitcher to make more pitchers and getting to the bullpen earlier. So you get 3 extra wins directly but maybe more wins indirectly.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Congrats on your first year, Lee! Good stuff. And yes, it's much more difficult to do in-depth studies during the season, when games are played almost every day.

    Anyway, congratulations again and keep up the great work!

    ReplyDelete
  7. Definitely enjoyed your blog this year, Lee. I was surpised this was just a first full year, actually! I'll keep reading all winter long!

    ReplyDelete

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