Sunday, April 01, 2012

Tigers Will Run Away from AL Central

As opening day approaches, I'm making predictions for each of the six divisions in MLB.   I have projected won/loss records, runs scored (RS), runs allowed (RA) and run differential (RS-RA) for each team.  I don't have a complex formula to determine the results.  I just looked at last year's final numbers and moved teams up and down according to how much I thought they would regress or improve from last year to this year.

In earlier posts, I predicted that the Tigers would score 795 runs and allow 680 runs.  That translates into a 93-69 record and an easy first place finish in the AL Central.  The Tigers have just about everything going for them including a dangerous offense, strong starting pitching and solid bullpen.  The only real weakness is a porous defense, but that won't prevent them from running away from a mediocre field in the central.


Projected AL Central Standings
Team
W
L
RS
RA
RS-RA
Detroit Tigers
93
69
795
680
115
Cleveland Indians
81
81
718
723
-5
Kansas City Royals
74
88
674
749
-75
Chicago White Sox
73
89
639
716
-77
Minnesota Twins
69
93
677
794
-117

Divisional Awards

MVP 
Miguel Cabrera, Det
Prince Fielder, Det
Carlos Santana, Cle

Cy Young
 Justin Verlander, Det
Doug Fister, Det
Justin Masterson, Cle

Breakout Players
Chris Sale, Chi
Jason Kipnis, Cle
Mike Moustakas, KC


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