Dan Szymborski has posted his Detroit Tigers ZIPS projections for 2008 at Baseball Think Factory. He thinks the Tigers are a 95 win team if their pitching staff stays healthy but is concerned about their pitching depth. I can't disagree with him there, although I'm not going to make my official prediction on their win total until right before the season starts.
ZIPS is projecting significant regressions for the following players:
Magglio Ordonez (.309/.366/.481)
Placido Polanco (.317/.358/.419)
Curtis Granderson (.278/.345/.475)
I agree that Ordonez and Polanco will likely fall back a bit this year. The Granderson projection looks a bit pessimistic to me. The batting average could drop but I don't think his power is going to decline. After, collecting 38 doubles, 23 triples and 23 homers in 2007, ZIPS has him at 31/13/21 for 2008. The triples will almost sure drop but I don't see his doubles and homers decreasing. In fact, I think some of the triples may become doubles and homers.
The ZIPS is also predicting further decline for Gary Sheffield: .269/.366/.438 in 85 games. Sheffield is certainly a concern and I would say that his health is going to determine whether the Tigers have a very good offense or an elite offense.
The good news offensively is that ZIPS is optimistic about Marcus Thames (.261/.329/.534) and Ryan Raburn (.269/.344/.466). Also, Miguel Cabrera is projected to bat .318/.407/.559 which seems about right.
The pitching projections are also encouraging as all 4 starters are expect to post ERAs under 4.50 (league average is 4.57):
Justin Verlander 3.75
Kenny Rogers 4.11
Dontrelle Willis 4.34
Jeremy Bonderman 4.34
Nate Robertson 4.45
I think if the pitchers can post those ERAs and stay healthy, the Tigers will be in good shape.