Fielding Bible Versus Gold Glove Awards - 2014

 Last night, I put together a color coded chart comparing the Fielding Bible and Gold Glove Award winners. It was late though and I wanted to post something more than just a chart, so I waited until today.  Joe Posnanski already beat me to it this morning saying most of the things I was going to say a lot more eloquently than I could.  Posnanski didn't include a color coded chart, so see Table 1 below for that!  Blue font means the Fielding Bible and Gold Glove Awards matched and red indicates a mismatch.

It’s clear that a fair amount of subjective input and interpretation of available data is needed to accurately evaluate fielding performance. With this in mind, John Dewan, owner of Baseball Info Solutions (BIS) and long time leader in the sabermetric community, developed an interesting approach to the evaluation of fielding performance eight years ago.  Rather than relying solely on statistics, he put together a “panel of experts” to select the best fielders at each position. He calls it the Fielding Bible Awards and he includes them in the Bill James Handbook.

The way the Fielding Bible Awards work is each of 12 voters ranks 10 players at each position. A player gets 10 points for a first place vote, 9 points for a second place vote, etc. Among the voters were several prominent sabermetricians including Dewan, Bill James and Rob Neyer, BIS video scouts who studied every single game of the 2014 season in great detail, former major league outfielder Doug Glanville and knowledgable fans who participated in the Tom Tango Fan Scouting Report.

In contrast to the Fielding Bible awards, the Gold Gloves have historically been selected by managers and coaches.  Managers and coaches still vote, but a statistical component was added in 2013.  So, it is interesting to see how the two awards compare.  Of the 18 positions, nine in each league, the Fielding Bible matched the Gold Glove in 12 cases (which is the same match rate as last year).  There were four mismatches in the AL and two in the NL.

Just like last year, the biggest disagreement in the American League was in center field were Orioles fly catcher Adam Jones won a Gold Glove, but finished 7th in the AL in the Fielding Bible vote.  He finished around average on both Total Zone (-3) and Defensive Runs Saved (+2) which explains why he did not do especially well on the more statistically oriented Fielding Bible Award.  First place finisher in the AL on the Fielding Bible vote was Jackie Bradley of the Red Sox finished +10 and +14 on the metrics. 

There were no big discrepancies the National League.  Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina won the Gold Glove for the seventh consecutive year while finishing third in the Fielding Bible voting behind Jonathan LuCroy of the Brewers and Russell Martin of the Pirates.  Additionally, Dodgers pitcher Zack Greinke won the Cy Young as Clayton Kershaw finished first in the Fielding Bible tally.  Greinke also did well on the Fielding Bible with the third most points in the NL.

So, are the Fielding Bible Awards better than the Gold Glove?  I like them because I believe they are less biased by reputation.  However, I do value the input of managers and coaches in the Gold Glove voting and they are trying to work some statistics into the process.  At the very least, the Fielding Bible is a nice complement to the available quantitative data and an interesting alternative to the Gold Glove Awards. I believe they are a significant contribution to the ongoing quest to more accurately assess fielding performance.

Table 1: Fielding Bibles Versus Gold Glove Awards, 2014

	Fielding Bible		Gold Glove
Position	AL	NL	AL	NL
Catcher	Salvador Perez	Jonathan Lucroy	Salvador Perez	Yadier Molina
First base	Albert Pujols	Adrian Gonzalez	Eric Hosmer	Adrian Gonzalez
Second base	Dustin Pedroia	DJ LeMahieu	Dustin Pedroia	DJ LeMahieu
Shortstop	J.J. Hardy	Andrelton Simmons	J.J. Hardy	Andrelton Simmons
Third base	Josh Donaldson	Nolan Arenado	Kyle Seager	Nolan Arenado
Left field	Alex Gordon	Christian Yelich	Alex Gordon	Christian Yelich
Center field	Jackie Bradley	Juan Legares	Adam Jones	Juan Legares
Right field	Kevin Kiermaier	Jason Heyward	Nick Markakis	Jason Heyward
Pitcher	Dallas Keuchel	Clayton Kershaw	Dallas Keuchel	Zack Greinke

Kershaw Dominates Run Prevention Leader Boards in NL

Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw was the NL run prevention leader in 2014
(Photo credit: Joe Skipper, Reuters)

Over the weekend, I posted the American League run prevention leaders.  Now, for the National League. 

There is no surefire way to determine the best pitchers in the league, but a pitcher's job is to prevent runs.  So, it's useful to estimate how many runs pitchers saved their teams compared to an average pitcher.  In the past, I have explored four different ways to do this:    

• Pitching Runs -  Runs Saved Above Average based on innings and runs allowed. 

• Adjusted Pitching Runs - Pitching Runs minus estimated Runs allowed by fielders. 

• Base Runs -  Runs Saved Above Average based on batters faced and hits, walks, total bases and home runs allowed.

• FIP Runs - Runs Saved Above Average based on innings, bases on balls, hit batsmen and home runs allowed and strikeouts.

These measures are discussed in more detail in an earlier post.  After computing them, you can aggregate them using weights depending on which measures you trust the most. I chose to take a simple average.

The 2014 National League leaders are listed in Table 1 below.  Dodgers left hander Clayton Kershaw led the league in all the above categories - Pitching Runs (46), Adjusted Pitching Runs (42), Base Runs (42) and FIP Runs (46).  That gives him an aggregate of 44 runs prevented compared to an average pitcher.  Johnny Cueto of the Reds was second with 33 runs prevented.  

Table 1: NL Run Prevention Leaders, 2014

Pitcher	Team	IP	Pitching Runs	Adjusted Pitching Runs	Base Runs	FIP Runs	Average
Clayton Kershaw*	LAD	198.1	46	42	42	46	44
Johnny Cueto	CIN	243.2	39	36	36	20	33
Adam Wainwright	STL	227	37	31	35	27	32
Jake Arrieta	CHC	156.2	23	25	30	31	27
Cole Hamels*	PHI	204.2	31	33	18	21	26
Jordan Zimmermann	WSN	199.2	21	21	20	29	23
Tanner Roark	WSN	198.2	24	23	18	12	19
Zack Greinke	LAD	202.1	21	17	11	20	17
Julio Teheran	ATL	221	16	15	19	12	15
Alex Wood*	ATL	171.2	18	17	13	14	15
Madison Bumgarner*	SFG	217.1	15	8	16	17	14
Stephen Strasburg	WSN	215	9	9	11	25	14
Doug Fister	WSN	164	21	20	12	1	13
Henderson Alvarez	MIA	187	18	20	6	9	13
Lance Lynn	STL	203.2	18	13	7	13	13
Tyson Ross	SDP	195.2	12	6	17	12	12
Hyun-jin Ryu*	LAD	152	7	4	9	21	10
Gio Gonzalez*	WSN	158.2	4	4	11	17	9
Josh Collmenter	ARI	179.1	5	8	10	5	7
Edinson Volquez	PIT	192.2	10	7	9	-6	5
Francisco Liriano*	PIT	162.1	4	1	8	5	5

Data source: Baseball-Reference.com