(Photo Credit: USA Today)
In an earlier post, I examined the performance of major league pitchers on ground balls in 2013 and learned that the Tigers staff had the highest Batting Average Against (BAA) on grounders. The theory was that their generally immobile infield defense was giving up a lot of hits, but it did not seem to have affected all pitchers the same way. While the staff had a .278 average on ground balls (versus an MLB average of .241), Anibal Sanchez was apparently unaffected posting a .243 average. So, I was curious to see what other pitchers in the majors had better than expected results on ground balls.
One year of data doesn't give us a good sample of ground balls to work with for individual pitchers, so I expanded to three years (2011-2013). Table 1 below shows the top ground ball BAAs for pitchers allowing at least 400 ground balls from 2011-2013. The leader was Rockies right hander Jhoulys Chacin at .176 (He was also the leader when I did this previously for 2010-2012). Chacin was a moderate ground ball pitcher during the period with a 49% ground ball rate on batted balls. Given that Chacin played half his games in Coors Field, a power hitter's paradise, his ability to gets outs on ground balls was certainly advantageous.
Table 1: Batting Average Against on Ground Balls, 2011-2013
Pitcher
|
GB
|
H
|
BAA
|
Jhoulys
Chacin
|
709
|
125
|
.176
|
Scott
Feldman
|
516
|
99
|
.192
|
Johnny
Cueto
|
651
|
130
|
.200
|
Henderson
Alvarez
|
677
|
136
|
.201
|
Mike
Leake
|
846
|
170
|
.201
|
Jeanmar
Gomez
|
402
|
81
|
.201
|
Jered
Weaver
|
570
|
116
|
.204
|
Ricky
Romero
|
681
|
139
|
.204
|
Jordan
Zimmermann
|
767
|
157
|
.205
|
Brad
Ziegler
|
432
|
89
|
.206
|
Hisashi
Iwakuma
|
490
|
102
|
.208
|
Tim
Lincecum
|
772
|
161
|
.209
|
Jarrod
Parker
|
493
|
104
|
.211
|
Shaun
Marcum
|
454
|
96
|
.211
|
Luke
Hochevar
|
632
|
134
|
.212
|
The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet.
Some pitchers benefited from better infield defense than others with team ground ball BAAs ranging from .230 for the Reds to .266 for the Tigers. That is not necessarily all defense of course. It could have been that some staffs allowed harder hit ground balls than others. Over three years, however, I would guess that averages would even out enough to suggest something about team defense. I attempted to adjust for differences in infield defense by calculating the ground ball BAA of other pitchers on the same staff. For example, Chacin had a .144 BAA in 2011 compared to .251 for other Colorado pitchers. So, his BAA was 43% better than the average pitcher giving him a BAA+ of 143 that year.
Chacin's numbers in 2012 and 2013 were 121 and 114 respectively and the weighted average of all three years was 128. Thus, he was 28% better at avoiding hits on ground balls than the average pitcher. Table 2 below shows that this was also the top BAA+ on ground balls in the majors. The worst pitcher at preventing hits on ground balls was former Yankees' right hander Phil Hughes at 72 (28% worse than average).
Table 2: Adjusted Batting Average Against on Ground Balls, 2011-2013
Pitcher
|
GB
|
H
|
BAA
|
BAA+
|
Jhoulys
Chacin
|
709
|
125
|
.176
|
128
|
Luke
Hochevar
|
632
|
134
|
.212
|
120
|
Scott
Feldman
|
516
|
99
|
.192
|
119
|
Lucas
Harrell
|
508
|
109
|
.215
|
118
|
Chris
Sale
|
590
|
128
|
.217
|
117
|
Jeanmar
Gomez
|
402
|
81
|
.201
|
116
|
Hisashi
Iwakuma
|
490
|
102
|
.208
|
116
|
Johnny
Cueto
|
651
|
130
|
.200
|
116
|
Brad
Ziegler
|
432
|
89
|
.206
|
115
|
Hiroki
Kuroda
|
924
|
205
|
.222
|
115
|
Henderson
Alvarez
|
677
|
136
|
.201
|
115
|
Mike
Leake
|
846
|
170
|
.201
|
115
|
Jordan
Zimmermann
|
767
|
157
|
.205
|
115
|
Scott
Diamond
|
613
|
137
|
.223
|
114
|
Justin
Verlander
|
791
|
184
|
.233
|
114
|
The information used here was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted by Retrosheet.
Looking at Tigers pitchers, Verlander's 233 BAA did not make the top 50, but his 114 BAA+ was 15th in baseball as he was better at preventing hits on grounders than other Tigers pitchers. Conversely, Max Scherzer was one of the worst in the majors with an 85 BAA+. So, it's good that he is an extreme fly ball pitcher as well as a strikeout artist. Other current and former Tigers pitchers include Doug Fister (109), Anibal Sanchez (100) and Rick Porcello (98). Note that Sanchez's statistics also include time with the Marlins.
I put the numbers for all MLB pitchers in 2011-2013 into a Google spreadsheet.
I am disappointed no comments. This is labor intensive and meaty. And the FPress link. What gives?
ReplyDeleteWell I only didn't comment cause Fister didn't make the list thus I didn't have any additional ammo to complain about the Fister trade, heck this chart arguably supports the Fister trade!
DeleteAnd maybe Lombardozzi is proficient at fielding ground balls as well as Chris Davising his way to the HR title. What a great trade that would be! Well that's all I got for you to ponder on, I hope it's enough. :)
Also I noticed Ian Krol was .242, Fister was .238.
DeleteOops, forgot to mention Krol's BAA+ was 104, Fister was already listed above as 109. Sorry I'm new to his emerging stat!
DeleteAnd I bet in 10 years we will have this data on Minor League players too.
There were some comments here: http://www.detroittigertales.com/2013/12/when-tigers-pitchers-allowed-ground.html
ReplyDeleteFor what it's worth, there were a lot of comments at the Freep site