Wednesday, November 06, 2013

NL Run Prevention Leaders: Kershaw And Then Everybody Else

In my previous post, I looked at how Tigers right hander Max Scherzer compared to other American League starters on four runs saved measures in 2013: 
  • Pitching Runs -  Runs Saved Above Average based on innings and runs allowed. 
  • Base Runs -  Runs Saved Above Average based on batters faced and hits, walks, total bases and home runs allowed.
  • FIP Runs - Runs Saved Above Average based on innings, bases on balls, hit batsmen and home runs allowed and strikeouts.
Scherzer was the best in aggregare, but did better on some measures than others ranking anywhere from first to fifth.

As Table 1 below shows there was more clarity in the National League where Dodgers ace Clayton Kershaw led the league in all four categories.  The Los Angeles southpaw had 51 Pitching Runs, 43 Adjusted Pitching Runs, 50 Base Runs and 33 FIP Runs for average of 44 runs above average.  His closest competitor was Matt Harvey of the Mets with 34 runs above average.

Kershaw should be and most likely will be the unanimous Cy Young winner in the NL and could even get some MVP votes.

Table 1: NL Run Prevention Leaders, 2013

Pitcher
Team
IP
Pitching Runs
Adjusted Pitching Runs
Base Runs
FIP Runs
Average
Clayton Kershaw*
LAD
236.0
51
43
50
33
44
Matt Harvey
NYM
178.1
34
33
37
33
34
Jose Fernandez
MIA
172.2
30
29
34
19
28
Adam Wainwright
STL
241.2
25
24
27
30
27
Cliff Lee*
PHI
222.2
23
31
22
24
25
Madison Bumgarner*
SFG
201.1
22
17
30
13
21
Zack Greinke
LAD
177.2
26
19
16
8
17
Stephen Strasburg
WSN
183.0
11
12
26
11
15
Francisco Liriano*
PIT
161.0
18
13
16
13
15
Jordan Zimmermann
WSN
213.1
15
16
16
10
14
Hyun-jin Ryu*
LAD
192.0
19
12
12
8
13
Travis Wood*
CHC
200.0
17
18
16
0
13
Mat Latos
CIN
210.2
12
9
11
17
12
Jhoulys Chacin
COL
197.1
6
19
7
16
12
Patrick Corbin*
ARI
208.1
12
13
10
13
12
Mike Minor*
ATL
204.2
13
8
13
9
11
Homer Bailey
CIN
209.0
9
6
15
12
10
A.J. Burnett
PIT
191.0
7
1
15
19
10
Cole Hamels*
PHI
220.0
5
13
6
13
9
Gio Gonzalez*
WSN
195.2
9
10
7
8
8


































Data source: Baseball-Reference.com

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