tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17907776.post7341794329592767070..comments2024-01-08T14:50:08.705-05:00Comments on Tiger Tales: A Detroit Tigers Blog: Hitting for AverageLee Panashttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17148118898954670307noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17907776.post-17834019859688350702008-10-31T14:47:00.000-04:002008-10-31T14:47:00.000-04:00Great work as always on this stuff, Lee.Mikewww.Da...Great work as always on this stuff, Lee.<BR/><BR/>Mike<BR/>www.DailyFungo.comSuperMuchlyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09748354152662454849noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17907776.post-8691641247607271812008-10-28T07:06:00.000-04:002008-10-28T07:06:00.000-04:00The reason why there were not big differences betw...The reason why there were not big differences between batting average and adjusted batting average is because batting average was part of the calculation. It would be the same for minor leaguers. it might be interesting to try to predict BA from contact rate, line drive rate and K pct.<BR/><BR/>I don't think the adjusted BA has any significant predictive value. I think there are three basic Lee Panashttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17148118898954670307noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17907776.post-59508508442335533422008-10-28T02:07:00.000-04:002008-10-28T02:07:00.000-04:00Lee, I don't see the differences between the the a...Lee, I don't see the differences between the the actual and projected averages as being significant. The most dramatic change difference was Inge with a 22 point difference or roughly slightly over 1.1 hit every 50 ABs. It seems that randomness or other factors such as speed and power may be more significant and defeat any predictive value the analysis might hold. I do see it's value for Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17907776.post-41620000109660161432008-10-26T17:37:00.000-04:002008-10-26T17:37:00.000-04:00I have just looked at one year of data so far so I...I have just looked at one year of data so far so I'm not sure how predictive adjusted average is. However, those low line drive percentages for Sheffield and Inge tell me that their low batting averages last year were probably not the result of bad luck.Lee Panashttps://www.blogger.com/profile/17148118898954670307noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-17907776.post-17028935176173216792008-10-26T15:33:00.000-04:002008-10-26T15:33:00.000-04:00The good news is that if hitting for average corre...The good news is that if hitting for average correlates with average Sheffield is as likely to hit 270 as 220.<BR/><BR/>The bad new is if hitting for average correlates to batting average Inge is as likely to bat 200 as 250.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com